Shake Shack Stock Performance

SHAK Stock  USD 92.72  4.15  4.69%   
The entity has a beta of 1.09, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Shake Shack returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Shake Shack is expected to follow. At this point, Shake Shack has a negative expected return of -0.0222%. Please make sure to validate Shake Shack's downside variance, day median price, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and kurtosis , to decide if Shake Shack performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Shake Shack has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite quite persistent basic indicators, Shake Shack is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
4.69
Five Day Return
3.38
Year To Date Return
11.08
Ten Year Return
159.65
All Time Return
102
1
57,971 Shares in Shake Shack, Inc. SHAK Acquired by Norges Bank
12/10/2025
2
Disposition of 2003 shares by Daniel Meyer of Shake Shack at 34.62 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/07/2026
3
Food companies are targeting users of weight-loss drugs with GLP-1 Friendly labels
01/14/2026
4
Zacks Research Reduces Earnings Estimates for Shake Shack
01/15/2026
5
Popular Shake And Burger Joint To Open 1st Bucks Co. Location
01/20/2026
6
A Look At Shake Shack Valuation After Mixed Shareholder Returns And Premium PE Ratio
01/23/2026
7
Starbucks Misses Q1 Earnings Estimates
01/28/2026
8
How Investors Are Reacting To Shake Shack Hiring Jim Taylor To Lead Commercial Strategy
02/02/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow224.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-66.1 M

Shake Shack Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  9,573  in Shake Shack on November 5, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (301.00) from holding Shake Shack or give up 3.14% of portfolio value over 90 days. Shake Shack is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.5272% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 22% of stocks are less volatile than Shake, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Shake Shack is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.33 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.1 per unit of volatility.

Shake Shack Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Shake Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 92.72 90 days 92.72 
about 22.03
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shake Shack to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 22.03 (This Shake Shack probability density function shows the probability of Shake Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.09 . This usually implies Shake Shack market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Shake Shack is expected to follow. Additionally Shake Shack has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Shake Shack Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Shake Shack

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shake Shack. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
90.2192.7295.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
88.3290.8393.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
79.7982.3084.81
Details
24 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
100.93110.91123.11
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shake Shack. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shake Shack's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shake Shack's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Shake Shack.

Shake Shack Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shake Shack is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shake Shack's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shake Shack, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shake Shack within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0027
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.09
σ
Overall volatility
5.81
Ir
Information ratio 0.0006

Shake Shack Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shake Shack for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shake Shack can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Shake Shack generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: How Investors Are Reacting To Shake Shack Hiring Jim Taylor To Lead Commercial Strategy

Shake Shack Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Shake Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Shake Shack's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shake Shack's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding44.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments320.7 M

Shake Shack Fundamentals Growth

Shake Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Shake Shack, and Shake Shack fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Shake Stock performance.

About Shake Shack Performance

By examining Shake Shack's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Shake Shack's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Shake Shack is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 2.91  2.23 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.02 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.05  0.04 

Things to note about Shake Shack performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Shake Shack for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Shake Shack help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Shake Shack generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: How Investors Are Reacting To Shake Shack Hiring Jim Taylor To Lead Commercial Strategy
Evaluating Shake Shack's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Shake Shack's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Shake Shack's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Shake Shack's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Shake Shack's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Shake Shack's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Shake Shack's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Shake Shack's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Shake Shack's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Shake Shack's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Shake Shack's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Shake Shack is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Shake Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Shake Shack Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Shake Shack Stock:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Shake Shack. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
For more information on how to buy Shake Stock please use our How to buy in Shake Stock guide.
You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Shake Shack. If investors know Shake will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Shake Shack assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.783
Earnings Share
1.03
Revenue Per Share
34.199
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.159
Return On Assets
0.0211
The market value of Shake Shack is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Shake that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Shake Shack's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Shake Shack's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Shake Shack's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Shake Shack's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Shake Shack's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Shake Shack is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Shake Shack's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.